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I've just started at http://highlightconseil.com/ preteen bbs kds lola Our proprietary leading indicator of payrolls, the Forward-Looking Indicator of Payrolls (or FLIP), which foreshadowed a weaker trend in private payroll growth recently, continues to signal downside risks to private employment growth in the pipeline.  Similarly, our calculations also suggest that private job growth within the more cyclically-sensitive sectors slowed markedly in Jul to only 9k from roughly 60k in the prior two months (with the 3-month run-rate trending lower).  Essentially, the foregoing decomposition suggests that private employment growth has probably been driven by counter-cyclical and less-cyclical industries over the last two months.


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